Business Insurance, the industry publication that covers risk management, risk transfer and risk financing, reported in February that commercial rate increases are likely to continue in 2022 after three consecutive years of double-digit raises.
The predicted commercial rate increases stemmed from the fourth-quarter earnings report from American International Group Inc. (AIG), one of the largest underwriters in the U.S.
AIG’s commercial rate analysis is backed by other recent news from Business Insurance, including:
- Willis Towers Watson PLC survey found that U.S. commercial insurance prices rose more than 7 percent in the fourth quarter
- Commercial residential properties, already facing a tough insurance market, are seeing double-digit rate increases and even higher for loss-hit risks in catastrophe-exposed locations.
- Commercial property/casualty insurance premiums increased an average of 8.7 percent across all account sizes during the fourth-quarter 2021, according to a report from the Council of Insurance Agents & Brokers (CIAB).
It was the 17th straight quarter of premium increases, according to the CIAB>
Fourth-Quarter Rate Increases Led by Financial Lines, Excess Casualty and Retail Property
AIG senior executives in a conference call with financial analysts, according to Business Insurance, said that fourth-quarter rate increases were led by:
- Financial lines: 15 percent
- Excess casualty: 14 percent
- Retail property: 13 percent
“My sense is that the 2022 market will continue to produce tight terms and conditions and strong pricing,” Mark Lyons, AIG global chief actuary and head of portfolio management, told the conference call, according to Business Insurance. “Rate increases continue to outpace loss cost trends across AIG’s portfolio.”
Other new from AIG in the conference call included:
- Net premiums written in commercial have grown by over $3 billion since 2018
- General insurance, AIG’s main property/casualty insurance business, reported $5.96 billion in net premiums for the fourth quarter, a 7.1 percent increase over the year-earlier period
- North America commercial lines accounted for $2.21 billion, an increase of 10.8 percent
- Catastrophe losses for the quarter were $189 million, down from $545 million in the prior-year quarter
U.S. Property and Casualty Rates Up 5 Years Straight
Earlier, MarketScout reported that the U.S. composite property and casualty rate was up for the fifth straight year.
The fourth quarter 2021 composite property and casualty rate was up 5.8 percent as compared to 6.8 percent for the third quarter 2021.
“The fourth quarter 2021 reflects moderation in rate increases. However, when comparing rates for the entirety of 2021, rates did increase from plus 5.6 percent in 2020 to plus 6.6 percent in 2021,” Richard Kerr, CEO of MarketScout, said.
That 6.6 percent increase is the largest hike since 2003 when rates shot up 18.1 percent.
The U.S. composite property and casualty rate trend by year since 2001:
- 2001: +15.8 percent
- 2002: +29.9 percent
- 2003: +18.1 percent
- 2004: +5.9 percent
- 2005: -3.1 percent
- 2006: -6.9 percent
- 2007: -13.3 percent
- 2008: -11.1 percent
- 2009: -6.0 percent
- 2010: -4.0 percent
- 2011: -2.3 percent
- 2012: +3.8 percent
- 2013: +4.4 percent
- 2014: +1.8 percent
- 2015: -0.7 percent
- 2016: -1.9 percent
- 2017: +0.9 percent
- 2018: +2.2 percent
- 2019: +3.5 percent
- 2020: +5.6 percent
- 2021: +6.6 percent
MarketScout analysis of the National Alliance for Insurance Education and Research pricing surveys found the following fourth-quarter rate increases by coverage class:
- Umbrella/excess: +11.0 percent
- D&O liability: +10.3 percent
- Commercial property: +8.3 percent
- EPLI: +8 percent
- Commercial auto: +6.7 percent
- Professional liabil: +6.3 percent
- Business interruption: +6.0 percent
- BOP: + 5.3 percent
- General liability: +5.3 percent
- Inland marine: +4.3 percent
- Fiduciary: +1.7 percent
- Crime: +1.3 percent
- Surety: +1.3 percent
- Workers’ compensation: rates remained flat
Dean & Draper is a Houston-based insurance broker that can meet your nationwide business and personal insurance needs. Contact Dean & Draper today to find out how we can take a deep dive and find the best commercial rate solution that fits your budget.
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